‘Aged Like Milk:’ 30 Things That Aged So Bad, They Went Sour

In order to not regret things you said or did and make them stand the test of time, you gotta be really good at decision making and being aware of what the future holds. But even then, it’s just a very human thing to do.

Unless you’re a superforecaster. It’s the practice of prediction that covers everything from whether a currency will become stronger, one country will invade another, or there will be civil unrest in a city. Superforecasters calculate the probability of something happening and then adjust that as circumstances change. In this way, they’re able to come up with consistent predictions.

But it’s much more complex than that. According to Bloomberg, superforecasters did not accurately predict Brexit, putting the chances of a Leave vote at 23% in June 2016—the month of the referendum. Their predicted figure had been higher a few months previously, but they had adjusted the likelihood downwards, reports the BBC.